The core question is therefore what measures will result in the subjugation of another State’s will. Oppenheim famously held that ‘dictatorial interference’ was necessary (Oppenheim [1905] 181). Jamnejad and Wood recognize coercion when the target State cannot reasonably resist the pressure of another State (Jamnejad and Wood [2009] 348). Hofer demands ‘irresistible pressure’ (Hofer [2017] 181). Despite being rather vague themselves, these formulations exemplify that pressure will only exceptionally cross the threshold of coercion.
(1) Use of Force
22 The prohibition of the use of force in international relations is a specific application of the prohibition of intervention (Use of Force, Prohibition of). It prohibits the use of military force in or against the territory, the territorial sea, and the airspace of another State and is enshrined in Art. 2 (4) UN Charter. The decision to use force on its own territory is widely accepted as a fundamental aspect of a State’s domaine réservé. By using force without the State’s permission, the attacking State effectively subjugates the other State’s will on this matter. Therefore, an illegal use of force also violates the prohibition of intervention.
23 This was confirmed by the ICJ in the Corfu Channel, Nicaragua, and Armed Activities cases. In the Corfu Channel Case, minesweeping operations conducted by the UK in Albania’s territorial waters were considered a prohibited intervention. The Court thoroughly denied a ‘right of intervention’ stating that this would constitute a ‘manifestation of a policy of force, such as has, in the past, given rise to most serious abuses and such as cannot, whatever be the present defects in international organization, find a place in international law’ (at 35). In the Nicaragua decision, the ICJ differentiated between the different supportive acts given by the United States (‘US’) government to the Nicaraguan Democratic Forces (also known as contras). It held that mine laying in Nicaraguan territorial waters and attacks on ports, oil installations, and a naval base by US armed forces violated the prohibition of the use of force ([Merits] para. 227). Furthermore, the training and arming of the contras, which were engaged in hostilities with the Nicaraguan government at the time, qualified as an illegal use of force (ibid para. 228). The other support given to the contras, including financial and logistical support, were only considered a prohibited intervention and not an illegal use of force. The Court confirmed this jurisprudence in the Armed Activities case. The deployment and fighting of Ugandan military forces on the territory of the Democratic Republic of the Congo qualified as a violation of the prohibition of the use of force (Armed Activities [Merits] para. 153). Likewise, Uganda’s arming and training of the Mouvement de Liberation du Congo, which engaged in the Congolese Civil War, constituted a prohibited use of force (ibid paras 160, 164). Both in the Nicaragua Case (para. 228) and Armed Activities (para. 164) judgments, the ICJ affirmed that violations of the prohibition of the use of force violate the prohibition of intervention, thus confirming that the former is a specific application to the latter. Accordingly, all prohibited uses of force violate the prohibition of intervention.
(2) Support of Armed Insurgents
24 Support to armed insurgents constitutes the second established form of prohibited intervention. In this regard, the Friendly Relations Declaration reads:
25 Drawing upon this paragraph, the ICJ qualified US support to the Nicaraguan contras as an intervention (Nicaragua Case paras 192, 205, and 242). The support encompassed financial support, training, supply of weapons, intelligence and logistic support directed at the military overthrow of the incumbent government. As pointed out above, weapons supply and training additionally violated the prohibition of the use of force.
26 This form of intervention only applies to the support of armed insurgents. Only armed insurgents will pursue a ‘violent overthrow of the régime’ as required by the Friendly Relations Declaration. This follows from its wording and preparatory works. During the years of negotiations leading up to the Friendly Relations Declaration, States could only agree on a very limited number of constellations they all considered as prohibited intervention (Pomson [2022] 193 ff). Accordingly, the notion of a violent regime overthrow was associated with military actions, such as a coup d’état by military forces (see Kriener [2024]).
(3) Coercion by Other Means
27 In line with the wording of the Friendly Relations Declaration (see para. 20 above), a whole range of further measures can theoretically be coercive (Nicaragua Case para. 192). Recent investigations have however pointed out that during the negotiations leading up to the Friendly Relations Declaration no consensus could be reached concerning other forms of coercion besides the use of force and support to armed insurgents (Pomson [2022] 193 ff). These two forms are the only ones explicitly spelled out in the Declaration. The general definition of prohibited intervention in the Declaration, which includes political and economic measures as possible forms of coercion, thus exceeds the consensus among States during the negotiations. Moreover, there has not been a reconciliation or clarification in subsequent State practice with regard to the gap between the Declaration’s wording and the actual consensus. All other possible forms of coercion are essentially contested. The following sections will outline this ongoing dispute with regard to individual forms of pressure.
(a) Sanctions
28 The term sanction is not a term of art in international law, but rather describes foreign policy actions by States. They can principally be divided into UNSC sanctions, multilateral sanctions, and unilateral sanctions. Whereas the legality of unilateral sanctions is highly contested, UNSC and multilateral sanctions are widely accepted as legal. Article 41 UN Charter authorizes the UNSC to decide upon economic measures in the face of a threat or breach of the peace (Peace, Threat to the; Peace, Breach of the). Their application against Member and NonMember States is widely accepted as lawful. A multilateral sanction is a method of pressure taken by an international organization within its mandate against one of its Member States. For example, the African Union’s Peace and Security Council can levy sanctions on a Member State when there is an unconstitutional change in government in the Member State (Art. 25 (7) African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance [2007]; Art. 7 (g) Protocol relating to the Establishment of the Peace and Security Council [2002]) (African Union [AU]). These sanctions rely on the prior consent of a State when it becomes a member of the organization.
29 In turn, unilateral sanctions are measures by a State or an international organization directed against a third State and intended to disadvantage the third State in order to induce a change in its behaviour. These can take a wide array of forms including full-scale embargoes, export restrictions for individual sectors or products, and measures directed against individual government members. In contrast to multilateral sanctions, these unilateral measures cannot rely on the prior consent of the targeted State.
30 In the Nicaragua Case, the ICJ found that a cessation of economic aid to Nicaragua, the 90% reduction of a sugar export quota, and a full-scale trade embargo did not amount to coercion (paras 244–45). These measures are credited with a significant decline in Nicaragua’s Gross Domestic Product and a major influence on the Sandinista government’s electoral defeat in 1990 (Pomson [2022] 207). Nonetheless, the ICJ held that these measures did not cross the coercion threshold. In its limited jurisprudence on this matter, the ICJ has thus been very reluctant to consider sanctions a violation of the prohibition of intervention.
31 State practice has been divided since the 1986 judgment. On the one hand, many States have employed sanctions as a foreign policy tool (Dawidowicz [2017]; Bogdanova [2022]) and argued that these are compatible with international law. Particularly, the EU employs sanctions as a central aspect of its common foreign and security policy (Council of the EU ‘Basic Principles on the Use of Restrictive Measures [Sanctions]’ [2004]; European Common Foreign and Security Policy). They argue that the regulation of market access and exports is itself a sovereign matter. As no right to trade exists under international law (Nicaragua Case para. 276; Lowe and Tzanakopoulos [2013] para. 37; Economic Warfare), restricting market access or exports does not violate international law. Furthermore, States that have traditionally been sceptical of unilateral sanctions, such as China, have recently also used sanctions as a foreign policy instrument.
32 On the other hand, the UNGA has labelled US sanctions against Cuba as a violation of international law every year since 1992 (eg UNGA Res 74/7 ‘Necessity of Ending the Economic, Commercial and Financial Embargo Imposed by the United States of America against Cuba’ [2019]). The most recent of these resolutions of 2022 (UNGA Res 77/7) received 185 votes in favour and two against, with two abstentions. All EU States voted in favour of the resolution. Moreover, the UNGA passed multiple resolutions between 1989 and 2011 criticizing ‘unilateral coercive economic measures’ (eg UNGA Res 58/198 ‘Unilateral Economic Measures as a Means of Political and Economic Coercion against Developing Countries’ [2003], adopted with 125 in favour, one against and 37 abstentions). This phrasing is—to some extent—redundant. ‘Coercive’ measures are illegal under international law, as the ICJ confirmed. The UNGA resolutions therefore only restate the lex lata and do not modify or extend this rule. However, the resolutions recognize that unilateral economic measures can amount to coercion, which is in itself noteworthy.
33 The UNGA’s practice therefore strongly indicates that unilateral economic measures can surpass the coercion threshold. While the UNGA’s resolutions are not binding, they can be considered as an expression of a consensus among States, particularly due to the significant amount of support the resolutions on sanctions against Cuba have gathered, alongside their frequency and consistency. However, this consensus only extends to very significant sanction regimes. The UNGA has solely identified the US embargo against Cuba as a violation of international law. This embargo is very comprehensive and includes regulations that inhibit third States from entering in economic relations with Cuba.
34 Yet, the UN Human Rights Council’s Special Rapporteur on unilateral coercive measures has argued, alongside other States and authors, that any unilateral economic measure will violate international law (eg UNSC ‘Letter Dated 25 March 2020 from the Representatives of Angola, Cambodia, China, Cuba, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, Dominica, Grenada, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Myanmar, Nicaragua, the Russian Federation, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Sri Lanka, the Sudan, Suriname, the Syrian Arab Republic, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and Zimbabwe to the United Nations Addressed to the Secretary-General and the President of the Security Council’) (Special Rapporteurs of Human Rights Bodies; United Nations Commission on Human Rights/United Nations Human Rights Council). This view stands in contrast with the view held by EU Member States, the majority of accession candidates to the EU, Canada, the US, Australia, and the UK, who generally consider sanctions as a permissive foreign policy tool. Due to these opposing views, some authors argue that the legality of unilateral sanctions falls into a grey area of international law (Hofer [2017] 179).
35 In summary, unilateral sanctions can amount to coercion. However, there is no consensus in the international community on when they reach this threshold. In line with the general restrictive interpretation of the coercion criterion, this will only hold true for the most severe sanction regimes.
(b) Propaganda, Disinformation, and Electoral Disruption
36 Some voices consider different forms of influence on a State’s political system coercive. From the 1920s to 1960s, a significant number of scholars argued in favour of a prohibition of peacetime propaganda (see Larson [1966] 445 f with further references). In their view, propaganda subjugates the free choice of a political system to the will of another State. However, multiple attempts to establish a prohibition of propaganda in international law failed. The 1936 International Convention on the Use of Broadcasting in the Cause of Peace only attracted a few States and was not ratified by the States most engaged in propaganda activities at the time, ie Germany, the Soviet Union, Japan, and Italy. The convention has no significant impact despite continuing in force today (Baade [2018] 1366). This also holds true for all other attempts to anchor a prohibition of propaganda in international law. Since the 1960s, scholarship on this matter saw a sharp decline.
37 However, more recent State sponsored disinformation campaigns have spurred debates on this issue. In particular, the Russian campaign to distort the results of the 2016 US Presidential election raised many eyebrows. Some argued that targeted attempts to distort the electoral result in favour of one candidate through damaging leaks, social media campaigns, and engineered voter suppression constitutes coercion (Schmitt [2021] 747; cf Wheatley [2020] 192; Moynihan [2019] para. 131; Terry [2018] 625; Helal [2019] 114). Others held that the measures did not cross the coercion threshold (Ohlin [2020]; Ferro [2020]; Fidler [2017]), or that the law was unclear (Sander [2019]). However, no State, not even the US, qualified the Russian campaign as coercive.
38 Notably though, a consensus in scholarship and State practice is emerging, which considers tampering with electoral infrastructure a coercive interference (Schmitt [2021]; Pomson [2022]; Wheatley [2020]; Moynihan [2019] para. 126; Keitner [2021]). Examples include cyber-attacks on vote counting machines that result in a miscount. If the results of an election are directly manipulated, a State is thwarted from freely determining its political government and accordingly its political system. Thus, the interference is coercive. Recent statements on international law applicable in cyberspace reinforce this conclusion (eg Australia, Costa Rica, Finland, Germany, Israel, UK, USA).
(c) Recognition of Non-Effective Governments
39 Likewise, the recent surge in recognition and derecognition of governments has revived debates about the coercive nature of declarations of recognition. A declaration of recognition or derecognition is a public statement by a State official asserting which entity within another State the former considers or does not consider as the government of the latter. Many voices consider such declarations in violation of international law. The Mexican Foreign Secretary Genaro Estrada stated in 1930 that the determination of a government was an internal affair which did not allow for foreign judgments thereon (the so-called Estrada Doctrine, see Recognition; see also Non-Recognition). Along these lines, the 1923 Award in the Tinoco Concessions Arbitration argued that an effective government could enter valid contractual commitments on behalf of the State, even if it assumed power through a military coup d’état (Aguilar-Amory and Royal Bank of Canada Claims [Great Britain v Costa Rica]). Thereby, the so-called Tobar Doctrine of 1907, which only allowed for the recognition of constitutional governments, was rejected. Effectiveness was from then on considered as the principal determinant of a government’s recognition (Talmon [1998]). Recognition of any entity other than the effective government violated this principle and therefore qualified as a coercive influence on the determination of a State’s government (Aust [2020] 84; Helal [2019] 119). Authors however differentiate between de iure and political recognition declarations. A de iure recognition is considered coercive because of its significant impact, ie representation in international organizations, access to foreign currency reserves, and diplomatic representation in other States. A political recognition that does not carry these consequences is in turn not considered as coercive (Talmon [2013] 248).
40 The effectiveness principle has however been under pressure. Instead of relying solely on the effectiveness of a government, many States have recently drawn upon the legitimacy of government in their recognition decisions (Hadi government in Yemen 2014; Libyan Transitional Government 2011; Barrow government in Gambia 2017; Guaidó government in Venezuela 2019) and refused recognition to effective, but illegitimate governments (Maduro government in Venezuela 2019; Transitional Military Council in Sudan 2019; Lukashenka government in Belarus 2020; Military junta in Myanmar 2021; Military governments in Mali 2020, 2021; Military government in Niger 2023). This evolving practice is based on the democratic principle in international law. For example, the AU only recognizes constitutionally and democratically established governments. It therefore suspended Member States in which an unconstitutional change of government occurred and thereby derecognized their illegitimate governments. Likewise, the Organization of American States (OAS) suspended Honduras after a coup d’état in 2009 and recognized the Guaidó government in Venezuela in 2019.
41 This turn to legitimacy likewise puts the coerciveness of a recognition declaration into question. The multiple recognition and derecognition declarations of recent years have not been met with universal condemnation. In all mentioned cases, some States qualified the declarations as coercive interventions (see eg Tladi [2020]). However, a majority of States remained silent on this issue and the States issuing said declarations detailed, at length, why their acts conformed to international law (see eg Kriener [2020]). Moreover, the UK skirted away from its longstanding policy of only recognizing States, not governments, a policy that it had established in 1980. Then, many authors considered it as the final confirmation of the effectiveness principle (Frowein [2012] para. 14). However, the UK recently did recognize the Guaidó government in Venezuela in 2019 despite not being effective. Therefore, it is doubtful whether the recognition of a non-effective government or the derecognition of an effective government is still considered coercive by the international community. Due to the customary nature of the prohibition of intervention, the coercion threshold is determined by the practice and opinio iuris of States. Accordingly, the recent shift away from the effectiveness criterion could likewise alter the coerciveness of a recognition declaration.
(d) Support to Peaceful Opposition Groups
42 Whereas the prohibition of intervention proscribes support for armed insurgents in a different State, it is disputed whether this also applies to support given to peaceful opposition groups. In 2009, Honduras submitted a dispute with Brazil to the ICJ over Brazilian support given to a protest movement led by former president Manuel Zelaya (Certain Questions concerning Diplomatic Relations [Honduras v Brazil] [Application Instituting Proceedings]). Zelaya was ousted by a military coup in 2009 and sent to exile. After crossing the Nicaraguan-Honduran border irregularly, he took up residence in the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa. From there he addressed his supporters, met with opposition leaders and coordinated the protests in favour of his reinstatement as president. Honduras characterized this support by Brazil as a coercive intervention. However, Honduras withdrew the case after a political settlement of the dispute (Peaceful Settlement of International Disputes).
43 Scholarship is divided on the question. Some argue that funding political opposition groups violates the prohibition of intervention (Helal [2019] 118). If a State prohibits foreign funding to political parties through its national laws, such funding will usually contravene the prohibition of intervention (Jamnejad and Wood [2009] 368). Others point to the long-standing practice on this issue that is exercised by a wide variety of States (Reisman [2019]). Moreover, some qualify support to oppositional groups as support for the principle of democracy in international law and/or international human rights law (Damrosch [1989] 44). Another group of scholars argues that the law is unclear on this question (Krieger [2019] 991 f) and that it falls into a legal grey area (Kriener [2024]).
44 Most States prohibit political parties from receiving direct or indirect financial assistance from foreign States (International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance [2012]). The European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) confirmed in a 2007 judgment that such prohibition is in conformity with the right to freedom of association under the European Convention on Human Rights (Parti Nationaliste Basque v France [2007]; European Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms [1950]; Association, Freedom of, International Protection). However, in a more recent judgment the ECtHR held that a blanket ban on foreign assistance to non-governmental organizations (‘NGOs’) constitutes a violation of those organizations’ freedom of association (Ecodefence and Others v Russia [2022]). This also holds true for organizations that are engaged in oppositional work or support issues contrary to governmental policy.
45 This exemplifies the close connection between the prohibition of intervention and other rules of international law. If another rule of international law permits a form of influence, eg support to NGOs in a foreign State, this form of influence will not violate the prohibition of intervention. Critical comments on the human rights situation in another State do not violate the prohibition of intervention.
(6) Summary
49 The coercion criterion can be difficult to apply. If a measure of influence is forceful or supports armed insurgents, it is certainly coercive. Moreover, there is an emerging consensus that tampering with election results amounts to coercion. Apart from these established forms, no other form of influence can clearly and universally be considered as coercive or not. Rather, a case-by-case assessment is required to establish whether the pressure exerted by one State on another State crosses the coercion threshold. The pressured State must not comply with the requested change in behaviour. Rather, the measure of influence must put the pressured State into a position in which the exercise of its sovereign will is limited so severely that it is effectively subjugated. This assessment relies on States’ practice and their opinio iuris due to the customary nature of the prohibition of intervention.
50 In this case-by-case assessment, the relative nature of the prohibition of intervention must be observed. The extent of a State’s domaine réservé depends on the individual relationship between two States and their mutual obligations under international law. Likewise, the coercion criterion is relative. A more powerful State can exert pressure more easily on a less powerful State than vice versa. Accordingly, the same measure taken by a powerful State can create unbearable pressure on another State, even if the measure would only have limited effect if taken by the latter against the former. Assessing the coerciveness of a measure or measures of influence thus requires a careful assessment of all relevant legal and factual circumstances.