1. The Form and Content of Sequencing Agreements
21 The cooperative scenario for the sequencing problem is the adoption of a sequencing agreement, by which the parties to the dispute establish the sequence of the procedures to be followed at the end of the RPT, usually ensuring that compliance adjudication takes place before the issue of the level of retaliation is discussed. The first sequencing agreement took place in Australia – Salmon, not in the form of an agreement in writing but in the form of matching declarations by the parties before the DSB. Noting the sequencing problem in the DSU, Canada (the complainant) requested an authorization to retaliate under Article 22.2 DSU and proposed before the DSB to ‘ask the [Article 22.6] arbitrators to hold the arbitration proceedings in abeyance until after the circulation of the panel report under Article 21.5’. If this report found that there had been non-compliance, ‘Australia and Canada would request the immediate resumption of the Article 22.6 arbitration, regardless of whether either party sought to appeal the Article 21.5 panel report’ (Minutes of Meeting of 27 and 28 July 1999, 5). Australia agreed, and the compliance panel (adopted without appeal) recorded the agreement of the parties (Australia – Salmon (Article 21.5 – Canada), Panel Report, 2000, para 1.3).
22 In the Brazil – Aircraft and Canada – Aircraft disputes, the parties (both disputes were between Brazil and Canada) complemented the format of matching declarations to address the sequencing issue with formal agreements, communicated to the DSB as an annex to the complainant’s recourse to Article 21.5 DSU (Brazil – Aircraft, Recourse by Canada to Article 21.5 of the DSU; Canada – Aircraft, Recourse by Brazil to Article 21.5 of the DSU). Members subsequently started adopting the practice of entering into formal, stand-alone sequencing agreements. Sequencing agreements in writing are usually notified to the DSB as ‘Understanding Between [Respondent] and [Complainant] Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU’, entered into and notified to the DSB at around the end of the RPT. In disputes that feature more than one complainant, the Member found in breach concludes a separate sequencing agreement with each complainant.
23 The fundamental structure of sequencing agreements is generally the same. The parties provide that, if there is disagreement regarding compliance, the proceedings under Article 21.5 DSU must take place and be completed before there is substantive debate concerning permissible retaliation. In case the procedure results in a ruling of non-compliance, sequencing agreements seek to (i) preserve the entitlement of the complainant to obtain an authorization to retaliate under the terms provided for in the DSU, and (ii) prevent the Member found in breach from objecting to the use of the negative consensus procedure for DSB approval of the authorization to retaliate due to the expiry of the deadlines in Article 22.6 DSU.
25 Other agreements, for example the one between the US and Canada in Canada – Dairy, place the request for an authorization to retaliate at the beginning of the process. The request for an authorization to retaliate is to be followed by an objection to the request under Article 22.6 DSU and the referral of the matter to arbitration. These sequencing agreements provide that the parties will jointly request the suspension of the arbitration until the completion of the compliance proceedings (Canada – Dairy, Understanding between Canada and the United States Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU, para 9). Some agreements, like the one between the US and Mexico in US – Anti-Dumping Measures on Oil Country Tubular Goods, provide for both hypotheses, allowing the complainant to choose whether to have the matter of permissible retaliation referred to arbitration (and then have the arbitration proceedings suspended) or whether to wait until compliance procedures are over before requesting retaliation (US – Anti-Dumping Measures on Oil Country Tubular Goods, Understanding between Mexico and the United States Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU, paras 3, 6, 8).
26 At the root of the divergence between models of sequencing agreements is the interpretative question that underlies the sequencing problem itself. Given the temporal incongruence in practice between Arts 21.5 and 22.6 DSU, many Members (most vocally, the EU) favour eliminating this incongruence, whether by amendment or through an interpretation that would make the deadline in Article 22.6 more flexible. The US, however, has vocally resisted both amending the DSU by agreement and attempts to eliminate the incongruence through interpretation. Its reasons for doing so include both its preference for literal over teleological interpretation of the WTO Agreements and its objective of making the retaliation procedure more expedite. Usually, therefore, sequencing agreements involving the US will preserve the right of the parties to request authorization to retaliate within the deadline established by Article 22.6, even if strictly speaking this deadline does not apply to the requesting Member but to the DSB.
2. The Practice Regarding Sequencing Agreements: Number and Ancillary Provisions
27 As of November 2019, 72 agreements have been notified to the DSB specifically as ‘Understanding between [Respondent] and [Complainant] regarding procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU’. Before this terminology became uniform, some agreements were notified using other titles, and some of the early agreements were entered into by exchange of declarations before the DSB, as in Australia – Salmon, or with the parties’ declarations being complemented by formal agreements, as in Brazil – Aircraft and Canada – Aircraft.
28 Sequencing agreements often contain provisions additional to those specifically designed to address the sequencing problem. For example, it is unclear from the DSU whether a request for a compliance panel must be preceded by consultations, and the Appellate Body’s comments on the matter were inconclusive (Mexico – Corn Syrup (Article 21.5 – US), Appellate Body Report, 2001, para 65). Thus, many sequencing agreements provide that, following the expiry of the RPT, the parties will precede any resort to Article 21.5 DSU with a period of consultations (China – Cellulose Pulp, Understanding Between China and Canada Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU).
29 A significant number of sequencing agreements contain provisions concerning the possibility of appeal from the compliance report. In the early days of WTO dispute settlement, it was unclear whether the provision in Article 21.5 DSU that compliance disputes are to be settled ‘through recourse to these dispute settlement procedures’ included a right to appeal from the report of a compliance panel. In their sequencing agreement in Australia – Automotive Leather II, the US and Australia agreed by exchange of letters not to appeal from the compliance panel report (Australia – Automotive Leather II, Recourse by the United States to Article 21.5 of the DSU), a commitment they respected even after the compliance report adopted the unprecedented view that compliance would require the repayment of WTO-inconsistent subsidies (Australia – Automotive Leather II (Article 21.5 – US), Panel Report, 2000, paras 6.50–6.51 and Annex 4, footnote 1). Australia, however, noted at the DSB Meeting at which the report was adopted that it had been ‘forced to relinquish its appeal rights under the threat of retaliation’ (Minutes of Meeting of 11 February 2000, 5). In Brazil – Aircraft, the first dispute together with Canada – Aircraft in which an appeal from a compliance panel report was filed, the sequencing agreement did not provide for a right to appeal. Against Brazil’s view that parties had to wait for the completion of the appeal to initiate retaliation proceedings, Canada filed its request for an authorization to retaliate concomitantly with Brazil’s appeal from the compliance panel report. By suggestion of the Chair of the DSB, the parties agreed that ‘no countermeasures would be sought pending the Appellate Body report and until after the Arbitration report’ (Minutes of Meeting of 22 May 2000, para 31).
30 More recently, anticipating the inability of the Appellate Body to hear an appeal due to fewer than three Appellate Body members being in office, sequencing agreements have started providing for this contingency. The parties in Indonesia – Iron or Steel Products committed not to appeal the compliance panel report (Indonesia – Iron or Steel Products, Understanding between Indonesia and Vietnam regarding procedures under Articles 21 and 22, para 7; Indonesia – Iron or Steel Products, Understanding between Indonesia and Chinese Taipei regarding procedures under Articles 21 and 22, para 7). In Brazil – Taxation, sequencing agreements with different complainants have gone different ways in this respect. Whereas the agreement between Brazil and Japan merely includes a generic provision on cooperation between the parties to find a solution to procedural issues that arise, the agreement between Brazil and the EU anticipates a ‘separate procedural agreement that preserves the availability of appeal review in this case on the basis of Article 25 DSU’ (Brazil –Taxation, Understanding between Brazil and the European Union Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 And 22 of the DSU, para 6). This agreement, the Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration Arrangement Pursuant to Article 25 of the DSU, has now been signed (Statement on a Mechanism for Developing, Documenting and Sharing Practices and Procedures in the Conduct of WTO Disputes). And, in US – OCTG (Korea), the parties, while reserving their position on ‘any systemic matter’, provided for a possible amendment to the sequencing agreement if the parties agreed to arbitration procedures under Article 25 DSU ‘to provide for review of the report of the Article 21.5 panel’ (United States – Anti-Dumping Measures on Certain Oil Country Tubular Goods from Korea, Understanding Between the Republic of Korea and the United States Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU, para 5). On the other hand, in US – Carbon Steel (India), the sequencing agreement did not provide for what would take place in case an appeal prevented a compliance report from being adopted (US – Carbon Steel (India), Understanding Between India and the United States Regarding Procedures under Articles 21 and 22 of the DSU, paras 7, 9). Once the appeal materialized, the parties agreed that it would only proceed once the Appellate Body were able to hear it, but made no comment on whether retaliation could be requested (US – Carbon Steel (India), Joint Communication from India and the United States).
3. Are Sequencing Agreements Binding?
31 The legal value of sequencing agreements remains an open question in WTO law. WTO Members ordinarily comply with agreements they enter into within the context of WTO disputes. If one of the parties decides not to comply with the agreement, most likely by pursuing retaliation proceedings where it had agreed not to do so, the issue may reach either the DSB or an adjudicator, in this case the Article 22.6 DSU arbitrator. If it reaches the DSB within a framework in which it would need to make a decision by positive consensus, history suggests that Members will not be able to reach a consensus. The question may also arise within the context of a dispute, such as when a complainant seeking an authorization to retaliate is faced with the claim by the party found in breach that the complainant has not complied with the sequencing agreement. As it has done in the past with respect to issues of jurisdiction, the DSB is likely to refer the whole matter to adjudication under the relevant provision (in the case contemplated, Art 22.6 arbitration), which would include the dispute as to the legal value of the sequencing agreement and any legal effects of its violation.
32 An adjudicator thus seized of a dispute regarding a sequencing agreement may be faced with a number of different issues. The parties may disagree on the interpretation of the sequencing agreement itself; on whether the sequencing agreement is able to modify the rights and obligations of the parties established under the DSU; or on the consequences of a violation of the sequencing agreement. Two or more of these issues may arise simultaneously. For example, a Member found to be in non-compliance may violate the sequencing agreement and object at the DSB to the request for an authorization to retaliate on grounds of improper timing of the request. A respondent that has agreed not to appeal from the report of the compliance panel if the Appellate Body is non-operational, as Indonesia and Vietnam did in Indonesia – Iron and Steel Products, may appeal nonetheless. The complainant may find that the text of the sequencing agreement does not appear to allow it to request retaliation in this case (Indonesia – Iron or Steel Products, Understanding between Indonesia and Vietnam regarding procedures under Articles 21 and 22, para 9), and request a ruling from the Article 22.6 DSU arbitrator. Either party, or a third party, could bring a dispute regarding the sequencing agreement through the regular panel procedure, or the parties could agree to arbitrate the issue under Article 25 DSU.
33 Similar issues have arisen in the past. The Article 22.6 DSU arbitrator in Brazil – Aircraft was requested to interpret the sequencing agreement in that dispute, to determine whether the term ‘report under Article 21.5 of the DSU’ in the sequencing agreement meant a report of the panel or whether, in case of appeal, it meant the report of the Appellate Body. The arbitrator preferred not to pronounce on its jurisdiction to interpret the agreement, which was put into question both because Canada argued that the arbitrators did not have the authority to interpret a bilateral agreement and because Brazil claimed to have terminated the agreement following a material breach by Canada. The arbitrator nonetheless (i) attributed legal effect to the sequencing agreement, finding that Brazil’s purported termination of the agreement could not affect Canada’s right to request retaliation which was ‘created through the execution’ of the agreement; and (ii) found that there had been an amendment to the agreement, due to the parties’ consent to a motion by the Chair of the DSB that ‘no countermeasures would be sought pending the Appellate Body report’ (Brazil – Aircraft (Article 22.6 – Brazil), Decision by the Arbitrator, 2000, paras 3.6–3.10).
34 In assessing what legal effects to attribute to the sequencing agreement, an adjudicator may consider the legal status of sequencing agreements and their relationship to the DSU. In Peru – Agricultural Products, the Appellate Body concluded that Members may relinquish their procedural rights under the DSU through ‘actions taken in relation to, or within the context of, the rules and procedures of the DSU’ (Peru – Agricultural Products, Appellate Body Report, 2015, para 5.25), which would appear to include sequencing agreements. In EC – Bananas III (21.5 II), the Appellate Body found that parties to a dispute had significant freedom to negotiate their procedural rights, stating that as part of a mutually agreed solution WTO Members may ‘forego the right to initiate compliance proceedings’, as long as the agreement contains ‘a clear indication … of a relinquishment of [this] right’ (EC – Bananas III (Article 21.5 – Ecuador II) / EC – Bananas III (Article 21.5 – US), Appellate Body Reports, 2008, para 212). These statements suggest that a sequencing agreement, as an instrument signed within the context of a WTO dispute, is a valid exercise by the parties of their right to arrange dispute settlement procedures so as to ensure a ‘positive solution to the dispute’, which is the aim of the WTO dispute settlement system (Art 3.7 DSU), subject to their duty to ‘engage in [dispute settlement] procedures in good faith’ (Art 3.10 DSU).
35 An Article 22.6 DSU arbitrator would be justified in giving effect to a sequencing agreement in line with these elements, to ensure that neither the incongruent structure of the DSU nor the parties’ agreement with respect to sequencing prevents Members from pursuing in good faith (Good Faith (Bona fide)) their rights through WTO dispute settlement. They may consider, for example, that a Member’s refusal to cooperate in the conclusion of Article 21.5 proceedings prevents it from invoking the sequencing agreement against the complainant, permitting the latter to lawfully request the resumption of suspended retaliation proceedings. In many cases, however, the arbitrator may not need to get into complex considerations regarding the legal effects of the sequencing agreement. The arbitrator may instead choose not to pronounce on the issue of sequencing and follow its narrow mandate, which is to determine whether the level and type of retaliation proposed by a complainant are in line with the principles set out in Article 22 DSU. Its award will then ground the granting by the DSB of an authorization to retaliate under Article 22.7. In the example above, the outcome of the two approaches would be the same; in choosing the latter one the arbitrator would be leaving for Members the task of finding a solution to the sequencing issue.
36 A more challenging situation will occur if, before the DSB, a respondent objects to the DSB granting an authorization to retaliate by negative consensus on the basis of an award that is silent on the dispute regarding the sequencing agreement. This respondent may argue either that the sequencing agreement does not have value against the text of the DSU or the opposite: that it prevails over the DSU and that failure to comply with the sequencing agreement precludes the complainant from requesting an authorization to retaliate. These arguments are difficult to settle at the DSB itself. The DSB only has two modes of decision-making: positive consensus, which allows any Member to object to a decision, and negative consensus, which allows any Member to ensure that the decision will be made (Art 2.4 DSU and footnote 1). There is no guidance as regards whether a defect in a request or in the procedure that precedes it prevents the operation of the negative consensus procedure. If the decision on whether an issue is to be decided by negative consensus or by positive consensus must be made by positive consensus, this allows any Member to prevent the operation of the negative consensus, even under the flimsiest of arguments.
37 In practice, although there may be stalemate (as in EC – Bananas III) Members usually find a solution that gives effect to the terms of the DSU. In a political organ such as the DSB, the consensus and negative consensus rules operate not so much as procedural rules than as guides for political decision-making, providing a basis for Members to discuss and reach a consensus on how to proceed (including by deciding, by positive consensus, that the appropriate procedure to make a decision is negative consensus). In other words, if the Article 22.6 arbitrator decides not to engage with the issue of the legality of the sequencing agreement or its legal effects, it is likely that the DSB will authorize retaliation by negative consensus, in the mode and level determined by the arbitrator, on the basis of the arbitrator’s choice to follow its narrow mandate.
38 These considerations demonstrate how fragile the ‘quasi-automatic’ WTO dispute settlement procedure is. They also reveal a key point not only about the sequencing issue but about the workings of WTO dispute settlement more broadly. Ultimately, every step of the WTO dispute settlement procedure—no matter how legally tight it may seem—is subject to political consensus within the organization. The commitment of Members to engage in dispute settlement in good faith is not so much an enforceable obligation as a declaration of an intention: the intention to take part in good faith in a decision-making process. The success of this process, and its ability to deliver legitimate outcomes, depends on Members’ willingness to accept the legitimacy of the process and to engage with it rather than undermining it. If this engagement is present, parties will find the means to interpret an incongruently drafted text in a way that allows them to settle their disputes and clarify their agreed rights and obligations. If this engagement is absent, the existence of supposedly watertight legal provisions provides little relief.